I am an actuary who has spent over a decade building billion-dollar risk models for Fortune 100 companies. Now I use that same quantitative focus to help traders navigate the big macro stories, manage risk, and work toward growing their capital without treating the market like a casino. Everything I share is for educational purposes only and is not personal financial advice.
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Bonds Hit 5.16%. The Warsh Era Begins.
Published 23 days ago • 15 min read
Howdy Reader, Last week was stacked. New Fed Chair confirmed and sworn in. CPI ripped to a 3-year high. PPI was even worse. Trump flew to Beijing and met Xi. And the bond market finally broke. The U.S. 30-year hit a high of 5.160% on Friday, the highest level since the run-up to the Global Financial Crisis. Let me walk you through it. Macro Warsh Confirmed. Bonds Broke. Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the next Federal Reserve Chair on Tuesday, May 13, in a 54-45 Senate vote. He officially took...
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