I am an actuary who has spent over a decade building billion-dollar risk models for Fortune 100 companies. Now I use that same quantitative focus to help traders navigate the big macro stories, manage risk, and work toward growing their capital without treating the market like a casino. Everything I share is for educational purposes only and is not personal financial advice.
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Consumer Sentiment Hits All-Time Low
Published 7 days ago • 13 min read
Hello Reader, New all-time highs Friday. Hormuz closed again Sunday. The Iran trade is not over. Last week I called that if /ES held the 100-day and went sideways-to-slightly-higher, we had a bull flag pointing higher. That is exactly what happened. S&P closed the week at 7,126 (+4.5%). Nasdaq +6.8%. Dow +3.2%. Record closes across the board. Then today Trump ordered the Navy to board an Iranian cargo ship, Iran killed the talks, and futures opened red. The Bull Flag Played Out. Now What? The...
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