I am an actuary who has spent over a decade building billion-dollar risk models for Fortune 100 companies. Now I use that same quantitative focus to help traders navigate the big macro stories, manage risk, and work toward growing their capital without treating the market like a casino. Everything I share is for educational purposes only and is not personal financial advice.
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Spirit Collapsed. The Market Didn’t Care.
Published about 1 month ago • 14 min read
Hello Reader, Spirit Airlines shut down Saturday after 33 years in business, and the market barely flinched. The rescue talks stalled out and the bondholders walked. By Saturday they were grounding the fleet and 17,000 people were out of work. Their restructuring math was built around fuel prices that don't exist anymore, and there was no path to a working exit from the moment the war started. The rest of the week was loaded too. The Fed split sharply at the FOMC meeting, Powell hands off the...
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