I am an actuary who has spent over a decade building billion-dollar risk models for Fortune 100 companies. Now I use that same quantitative focus to help traders navigate the big macro stories, manage risk, and work toward growing their capital without treating the market like a casino. Everything I share is for educational purposes only and is not personal financial advice.
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The Hiring Recession Started. The Data Just Proved It.
Published 5 days ago • 8 min read
Hello Reader, Happy Easter! I'm keeping this one short. This week's data confirmed what I've been saying for months: the economy was already cracking before this energy shock. Now it's accelerating. Trump has shifted his Iran strike deadline for the fourth time - Tuesday at 8:00 PM Eastern, "Power Plant and Bridge Day." Both downed F-15E pilots have been rescued from behind enemy lines. Let's get into it. Macro The Numbers Don't Lie ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.7, third straight month...
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