I am an actuary who has spent over a decade building billion-dollar risk models for Fortune 100 companies. Now I use that same quantitative focus to help traders navigate the big macro stories, manage risk, and work toward growing their capital without treating the market like a casino. Everything I share is for educational purposes only and is not personal financial advice.
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War Risks & Market Moves
Published 6 days ago • 7 min read
Hi Reader, Last week I said the whole week came down to Tuesday's CPI and Warsh. The number came in soft, Warsh stayed hawkish anyway, and then the war took over and made it pointless. The truce is dead, oil is back up, and the Fed is stuck. Let's get into it. Macro This Time We Blockaded the Coast The truce that held through early July is done. Monday Trump named the US the guardian of the Strait of Hormuz and put a 20% levy on everything moving through it. Tuesday the Navy went further and...
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