I am an actuary who has spent over a decade building billion-dollar risk models for Fortune 100 companies. Now I use that same quantitative focus to help traders navigate the big macro stories, manage risk, and work toward growing their capital without treating the market like a casino. Everything I share is for educational purposes only and is not personal financial advice.
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What's Driving Inflation Now?
Published 17 days ago • 5 min read
Hello Reader, Warsh Told You How He's Going to Decide The Fed raised rates Wednesday. 25 basis points, to 3.75% to 4.00%, unanimous. First hike in about three years. Inflation is too high and has been for too long, and the summer readings don't tell him underlying trends have improved. By his own numbers, total PCE ran around 3.6% in August, core PCE around 3.2%, and too many categories still printing above 3%. He said he was hard pressed to call financial conditions restrictive, so the...
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